Mexico face Sweden in their last group game of the 2018 FIFA World Cup.
El Tri sit top of Group F with six points, three ahead of anyone else, but still haven’t sealed a place in the next round. A point will not only see them progress but also finish as leaders of the group, regardless of Germany’s result against South Korea.
Sweden are joint second with the reigning world champions, and might still not progress even if they win today’s game. Their aim will be to take all three points and register a better goal difference than Joachim Low’s men.
Read below our betting preview of the match. We have focused on some of the betting markets you might be interested in to help you wager wisely. Odds used in the article are the latest from bookie Betfair.
PREDICTION AND BETTING TIPS
After a fully deserved win over Germany in their first group match, Mexico are now considered to be among the strongest sides in the World Cup. They have been given odds of 11/8 on Betfair to make it three wins in a row today while their opponents are significantly down at 23/10, the same pricing placed against a draw.
Sweden defeated South Korea 1-0 to get their three points, but lost to German thanks to a late wonder-strike by Real Madrid midfielder Toni Kroos. Their performances have been impressive thus far, but Mexico’s form should be a good reason to worry for Janne Andersson and his men.
Our prediction is that the match will end a draw.
Former Manchester United star Javier “Chicharito” Hernandez tops the goalscorer market after impressive displays in Mexico’s first two games. The 30-year old has been quoted at 9/2 to score the first goal of the match and 15/8 to score anytime. Compatriot Oribe Peralta is a 5/1 bet to be the first on the scoresheet and 9/4 to score anytime ahead of Giovani Dos Santos, Hirving Lozano, Marcus Berg and former Arsenal forward, Carlos Vela, who are all set at 11/4 to find the back of the net and 13/2 to break the deadlock.
OVER/UNDER 2.5 MATCH GOALS
Betfair have priced the prospect of the fixture producing more than two goals at 23/20. An under 2.5 goal scoreline is set at 7/10.
Only three in the last twelve fixtures between these two sides have produced more than two goals. With Mexico expected to be resilient at the back as they eye that one point, it could be even harder for the game to produce many goals.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Mexico have found the back of the net in each but one of their last four fixtures, something we suppose they will do again today. Sweden have really not been effective in front of goal but the fact they need that win to stay in the competition will compel them to press hard and try to get a goal.
Our prediction is that both teams will get a goal, a prospect quoted at 20/23 on Betfair. The contrary is up at 20/21.