Portugal will face hosts France for the much-anticipated Euro 2016 final at the Stade de France on Sunday Evening. Didier Deschamps’ men defeated a dominant Germany side in the semis thanks to a well-taken brace by legit Player of the Tournament and Golden Boot contender Antoine Griezmann. He will be seeking to lift a third trophy from a major tournament in their home soil. For Portugal, it will be the second time since the start of the century they play in a European Championship final and the first time they lift the trophy if they eventually do. We have prepared for you a betting preview that features tips and predictions, popular markets and odds as provided by bookie Betfair.
PREDICTION AND TIPS
France have been accorded a favourite’s backing of 21/20 over Portugal at 10/3, but you will be deluded to think things will automatically follow the script. Finals are the toughest matches to predict and Portugal – who lost to Greece in 2004 – know that pretty well. Perhaps they would want to use that experience and give the French and their fans a dose of that. But is history on their side?
The two teams have met a total of 24 times before and Les Bleus have won a staggering 18 of those and lost only five. The margin will even widen if we compare their recent performances. France come into the match with five wins from their last five matches while Portugal have actually won once inside 90 minutes in this tournament.
And when you try to raise the “but they have the joint all-time tournament top scorer in their ranks” card, you will be reminded that if Griezmann scores three goals in the final, he will reach the same feat…from one tournament! If you think the match will be decided outside regular time, France have been quoted at 4/9 while Portugal are down at 19/10. A draw in normal time is set at 2/1.
OVER/UNDER 2.5 MATCH GOALS
With Ronaldo and Griezmann in the picture, there is enough reason to expect goals tonight. But what do the stats say? France have scored 13 goals thus far and have had three of their six matches in the tournament producing more than two goals. Portugal, on the other hand, haven’t broken the two-goal barrier since their 3-3 draw with Hungary in the group stage. While they will definitely not dictate the market, their defensiveness and low scorelines may have an impact on tonight’s outcome.
France have sure been aggressive upfront but, of course, we can’t overlook the fact that their heavy scorelines came against Iceland, Ireland and Romania, and not France and Switzerland. Over 2.5 Goals has been quoted at an alluring 7/4 while Under 2.5 Goals has been set at 1/2.
For the first time in this tournament, Ronaldo – at 11/2 to break the deadlock and 15/8 to score anytime – is behind someone in the goals market. He trails Griezmann who is 4/1 to open the scoring and 6/4 to score anytime. Olivier Giroud is joint second with Ronaldo with 3 goals and 2 assists to his name so far ahead of Andre-Pierre Gignac who is 13/2 to break the deadlock and 5/2 to score anytime and Dimitri Payet who has been set at 8/1 to score the first match goal and 3/1 to score anytime.
Nani, Pogba and Coman are all 10/1 and 5/1 to open the scoring and net the first goal respectively behind tournament flop Anthony Martial who is 4/1 to put his name on the score-sheet and 17/2 to score the opening goal. Odds offered by Betfair.
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
I would love to not but I honestly think both teams will find the back of the net tonight. That prospect has been quoted at a lucrative 13/10 while that of at least one team to not score has been priced at 7/10. It’s obvious that Betfair back the latter but that’s what they have been doing throughout the tournament. Here’s why I think you should wager on both teams to score.
The two teams have failed to find the back of the net only twice between them this summer. They are actually among the top three teams with the most goals attempts. Portugal have registered 46 shots while France have managed 43. Between them are world champions Germany who are only one shot shy of Portugal’s feat.What’s more, Ronaldo and Griezmann will be in opposing lineups. The two alone are worth ten goals and five assists so far, which further raises the probability that either team will score.
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